SimpleFunctions
KalshiJul 2, 202660 days left

Will Bennett Stirtz be a top 15 draft pick in 2026?

This contract is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 17¢ spread.

Implied probability

17¢
$3 volume
$3 liquidity
43% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$7

Best sibling

Jayden Quaintance 25¢

Ticker

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-15-BSTI

Price history

17¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 3, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 17¢

Kalshi
17¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
17¢97
18¢50
30¢121
38¢14
39¢45

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Bennett Stirtz is drafted top 15 in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-15-BSTI

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2968.8%

IY (No)

124.5%

Adj IY

1484%

CRI

5

Overround

8.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2968.8%
124.5%
Adj IY
1484%
5
Overround
8.0%

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