SimpleFunctions

Brayden Burries · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-15

Brayden Burries is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 96¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-15.

Price history

96¢ current

+8¢
80¢90¢100¢
May 26, 2026Jun 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Brayden Burries is drafted top 15 in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Brayden Burries

Rank

#2 of 16

Leader

Keaton Wagler 97¢

Range

6¢-97¢

Family volume

$17K

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-15-BBUR

Jun 23, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

96¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

96¢

Ask

97¢

Spread

24h volume

$200

Family rank

#2 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-15

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Family volume

$17K

Orderbook snapshot

96 / 97¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
96¢250
95¢500
88¢75
60¢49
2¢58
AskSize
97¢598
99¢1.2K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Brayden Burries is drafted top 15 in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-15-BBUR

SF Signal
SF Index
47707.22
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

NBA Draft First-Round Selection Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNBADRAFTTOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

165.7%

IY (No)

95414.4%

Adj IY

47707%

CRI

24

Overround

9.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

165.7%
95414.4%
Adj IY
47707%
24
Overround
9.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.