SimpleFunctions
KalshiJul 2, 202660 days left

Will Darryn Peterson be a top 15 draft pick in 2026?

This contract is priced at 86¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 21¢ spread.

Implied probability

86¢
$0 volume
6.2 LAS liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$7

Best sibling

Jayden Quaintance 25¢

Ticker

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-15-DPET

Price history

86¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 3, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

75 / 96¢

Kalshi
21¢ spread
BidSize
75¢526
3¢5.0K
AskSize
96¢5
97¢60
99¢50

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Darryn Peterson is drafted top 15 in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-15-DPET

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

202.8%

IY (No)

1825.2%

Adj IY

913%

CRI

3

Overround

8.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

202.8%
1825.2%
Adj IY
913%
3
Overround
8.0%

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