SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 16, 202638 days left

Will Alvaro Morata be in the Spain World Cup final squad?

This contract is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 9¢ spread.

Implied probability

22¢
$160 volume
$160 liquidity
17% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$935

Best sibling

Robin Le Normand 43¢

Ticker

KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-AMOR

Market snapshot

Alvaro Morata in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Alvaro Morata be in the Spain World Cup final squad?. The displayed quote is 22¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $160. In the KXWCSQUAD-26ESP family, this outcome ranks #14 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Alvaro Morata

Family rank

#14 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

22¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 16, 2026

Reported volume

$160

Family context

16 outcomes · KXWCSQUAD-26ESP

Quote range

6¢-91¢

Family leader

Unai Simon 91¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-AMOR. Family volume: $935.

Price history

22¢ current

+18¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 20, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

22 / 31¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
22¢5
21¢200
6¢44
4¢390
3¢13
AskSize
31¢200
90¢753
91¢50
92¢25
99¢1

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Alvaro Morata is selected for the final squad for the Spain national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 16, 2026

Identifier

KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-AMOR

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3427.6%

IY (No)

272.7%

Adj IY

1714%

CRI

4

Overround

23.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3427.6%
272.7%
Adj IY
1714%
4
Overround
23.1%

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