SimpleFunctions
KalshiJul 7, 202659 days left

Will Arjun Erigaisi be rated top 10 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in June 2026?

This contract is priced at 98¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 95¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

98¢
$0 volume
0.5 LAS liquidity

Event outcomes

13

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Magnus Carlsen 98¢

Ticker

KXCHESSFIDERATINGTOP-26JUNT10-AERI

Market snapshot

Arjun Erigaisi in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Arjun Erigaisi be rated top 10 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in June 2026?. The displayed quote is 98¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the KXCHESSFIDERATINGTOP-26JUNT10 family, this outcome ranks #5 of 13 by current quote across 13 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Arjun Erigaisi

Family rank

#5 of 13

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

98¢

Quote source

Bid/ask midpoint

Timing

Listed until Jul 7, 2026

Reported volume

Family context

13 outcomes · KXCHESSFIDERATINGTOP-26JUNT10

Quote range

1¢-98¢

Family leader

Magnus Carlsen 98¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: KXCHESSFIDERATINGTOP-26JUNT10-AERI. Family volume: .

Price history

98¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

95 / 100¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
95¢338
94¢674
88¢20K
5¢5.0K
3¢2.7K
AskSize

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Arjun Erigaisi is rated top 10 on the June 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 7, 2026

Identifier

KXCHESSFIDERATINGTOP-26JUNT10-AERI

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

32.4%

IY (No)

11681.2%

Adj IY

5841%

CRI

19

Overround

5.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

32.4%
11681.2%
Adj IY
5841%
19
Overround
5.5%

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