SimpleFunctions
KalshiJul 7, 202659 days left

Will Hans Moke Niemann be rated top 10 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in June 2026?

This contract is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

15¢
$407 volume
$407 liquidity

Event outcomes

13

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Magnus Carlsen 98¢

Ticker

KXCHESSFIDERATINGTOP-26JUNT10-HMOK

Market snapshot

Hans Moke Niemann in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Hans Moke Niemann be rated top 10 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in June 2026?. The displayed quote is 15¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $407. In the KXCHESSFIDERATINGTOP-26JUNT10 family, this outcome ranks #12 of 13 by current quote across 13 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Hans Moke Niemann

Family rank

#12 of 13

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

15¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jul 7, 2026

Reported volume

$407

Family context

13 outcomes · KXCHESSFIDERATINGTOP-26JUNT10

Quote range

1¢-98¢

Family leader

Magnus Carlsen 98¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: KXCHESSFIDERATINGTOP-26JUNT10-HMOK. Family volume: .

Price history

15¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 15¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
100¢765
11¢100
10¢205
AskSize
15¢84
16¢20K
19¢100
21¢200
99¢5.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Hans Moke Niemann is rated top 10 on the June 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 7, 2026

Identifier

KXCHESSFIDERATINGTOP-26JUNT10-HMOK

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4971.7%

IY (No)

75.9%

Adj IY

2486%

CRI

8

Overround

5.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4971.7%
75.9%
Adj IY
2486%
8
Overround
5.5%

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