Will at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?
This contract is priced at 87¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 87¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 9¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
At least 35 GWdc 91¢
Ticker
KXSOLAR-26-40
Market snapshot
At least 40 GWdc in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?. The displayed quote is 87¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $658. In the Will at least family, this outcome ranks #2 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
At least 40 GWdc
Family rank
#2 of 5
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
87¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Mar 31, 2027
Reported volume
$658
Family context
5 outcomes · Will at least
Quote range
20¢-91¢
Family leader
At least 35 GWdc 91¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 3m ago
Venue identifier: KXSOLAR-26-40. Family volume: —.
Price history
87¢ current
+3¢Orderbook snapshot
87 / 96¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Mar 31, 2027
Identifier
KXSOLAR-26-40
Event family
Will at least.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
5
Highest price
At least 35 GWdc 91¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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