SimpleFunctions
KalshiMar 31, 2027326 days left

Will at least 55 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

This contract is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 9¢ spread.

Implied probability

29¢
$2K volume
$1K liquidity

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

At least 35 GWdc 91¢

Ticker

KXSOLAR-26-55

Market snapshot

At least 55 GWdc in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will at least 55 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?. The displayed quote is 29¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. In the Will at least family, this outcome ranks #5 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

At least 55 GWdc

Family rank

#5 of 5

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

29¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Mar 31, 2027

Reported volume

$2K

Family context

5 outcomes · Will at least

Quote range

20¢-91¢

Family leader

At least 35 GWdc 91¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: KXSOLAR-26-55. Family volume: .

Price history

29¢ current

+5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 29¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
20¢300
20¢500
5¢300
5¢48
5¢29
AskSize
29¢500
49¢99
50¢136
51¢370
52¢592

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If at least 55 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Mar 31, 2027

Identifier

KXSOLAR-26-55

Event family

Will at least.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

5

Highest price

At least 35 GWdc 91¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

447.5%

IY (No)

28.0%

Adj IY

224%

CRI

4

Overround

2.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

data_release

Full indicator table

447.5%
28.0%
Adj IY
224%
4
Overround
2.2%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index