Average gas prices above $4.75
Above 4.75 is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 11 inside Will average gas prices be above $.
Price history
24¢ current
Contract brief
If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $4.75 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 4.75
Rank
#9 of 11
Leader
Above 2.75 91¢
Range
10¢-91¢
Family volume
$114
Identifier
KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-4.75
Jun 7, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
24¢
Ask
30¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$400
Family rank
#9 of 11
11 outcomes · Will average gas prices be above $
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Family volume
$114
Orderbook snapshot
24 / 30¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $4.75 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-4.75
Event family
Will average gas prices be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$114
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Above 2.75 91¢
Current share
0%
Above 2.75
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-2.75
Above 2.50
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-2.50
Above 3.00
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-3.00
Above 3.25
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-3.25
Above 3.50
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-3.50
Above 3.75
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-3.75
Above 4.00
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-4.00
Above 4.25
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-4.25
Above 4.75
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-4.75
Above 4.50
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-4.50
Above 5.00
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-5.00
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.625
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.