Average gas prices above $5.00
Above 5.00 is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 11 inside Will average gas prices be above $.
Price history
13¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $5.00 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 5.00
Rank
#11 of 11
Leader
Above 2.75 91¢
Range
10¢-91¢
Family volume
$985
Identifier
KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-5.00
Jun 7, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#11 of 11
11 outcomes · Will average gas prices be above $
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Family volume
$985
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $5.00 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-5.00
Event family
Will average gas prices be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$985
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Above 2.75 91¢
Current share
0%
Above 2.75
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-2.75
Above 2.50
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-2.50
Above 3.00
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-3.00
Above 3.25
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-3.25
Above 3.50
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-3.50
Above 3.75
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-3.75
Above 4.00
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-4.00
Above 4.50
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-4.50
Above 4.25
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-4.25
Above 4.75
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-4.75
Above 5.00
kalshi · KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-5.00
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.625
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.