Average gas prices above $5.20 by Dec 31, 2026
Above $5.20 is priced at 23¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 21¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 13 inside Will average gas prices be above $.
Price history
23¢ current
−11¢Contract brief
If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.20 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $5.20
Rank
#4 of 13
Leader
Above $4.60 75¢
Range
3¢-75¢
Family volume
$27K
Identifier
KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.20
May 28, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
26¢
Ask
47¢
Spread
21¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#4 of 13
13 outcomes · Will average gas prices be above $
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$27K
Orderbook snapshot
26 / 47¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.20 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.20
Event family
Will average gas prices be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$27K
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Above $4.60 75¢
Current share
10%
Above $4.60
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-4.60
Above $4.80
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-4.80
Above $5.00
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.00
Above $5.20
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.20
Above $5.80
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.80
Above $5.60
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.60
Above $5.40
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.40
Above $6.00
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.00
Above $6.20
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.20
Above $6.40
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.40
Above $6.80
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.80
Above $7.00
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-7.00
Above $6.60
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.60
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.442
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.