Will average gas prices be above or below $4.00 by Dec 31, 2026?
This contract is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 9¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$132
Best sibling
Below $3.80 8¢
Ticker
KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31-4.00
Market snapshot
Below $4.00 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will average gas prices be above or below $4.00 by Dec 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 9¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $33. In the Will average gas prices be above or below $ family, this outcome ranks #3 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Below $4.00
Family rank
#3 of 4
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
9¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
24h volume
$33
Family context
4 outcomes · Will average gas prices be above or below $
Quote range
2¢-10¢
Family leader
Below $4.10 10¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31-4.00. Family volume: $132.
Price history
9¢ current
+5¢Orderbook snapshot
3 / 12¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If average regular gas prices for California are strictly lower than $4.00 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31-4.00
Event family
Will average gas prices be above or below $.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$132
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Below $4.10 10¢
Current share
25%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.442
Observability
low
Event type
financial
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