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Canada inflation rate YoY for May 2026 above 2.6%

Above 2.6% is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 67¢ bid, 68¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 14 inside Will Canada inflation rate YoY for May 2026 be above.

Price history

66¢ current

+6¢
60¢70¢80¢
May 20, 2026May 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Canada inflation rate YoY for May 2026 is above 2.6 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 2.6%

Rank

#4 of 14

Leader

Above 2.2% 91¢

Range

2¢-91¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXCACPIYOY-26JUN22-T2.6

May 24, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

66¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

67¢

Ask

68¢

Spread

24h volume

$3

Family rank

#4 of 14

14 outcomes · Will Canada inflation rate YoY for May 2026 be above

Closes

Jun 22, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

67 / 68¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
67¢10
60¢2
56¢219
53¢40
30¢339
AskSize
68¢211
69¢500
75¢42
86¢23
87¢49

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Canada inflation rate YoY for May 2026 is above 2.6 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 22, 2026

Identifier

KXCACPIYOY-26JUN22-T2.6

SF Signal
SF Index
1262.57
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

621.8%

IY (No)

2563.3%

Adj IY

1263%

CRI

2

Overround

4.5%

LAS

0.01

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

621.8%
2563.3%
Adj IY
1263%
2
Overround
4.5%
LAS
0.01

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.