SimpleFunctions

Canada inflation rate YoY for May 2026 above 3.3%

Above 3.3% is priced at 9¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 15 inside Will Canada inflation rate YoY for May 2026 be above.

Price history

9¢ current

+1¢
0¢10¢
May 20, 2026May 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Canada inflation rate YoY for May 2026 is above 3.3 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 3.3%

Rank

#12 of 15

Leader

Above 2.2% 92¢

Range

1¢-92¢

Family volume

$195

Identifier

KXCACPIYOY-26JUN22-T3.3

May 23, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

9¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 23, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

Ask

10¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#12 of 15

15 outcomes · Will Canada inflation rate YoY for May 2026 be above

Closes

Jun 22, 2026

Family volume

$195

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 10¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.9K
8¢9
5¢400
2¢300
AskSize
10¢9
12¢100
13¢800
15¢200
19¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Canada inflation rate YoY for May 2026 is above 3.3 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 22, 2026

Identifier

KXCACPIYOY-26JUN22-T3.3

SF Signal
SF Index
12460.10
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

12460.1%

IY (No)

121.9%

Adj IY

12460%

CRI

10

RV

5576%

VR

2.46

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

12460.1%
121.9%
Adj IY
12460%
10
RV
5576%
VR
2.46
IAR
0.9/h
Overround
4.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.