SimpleFunctions

Canada inflation rate YoY for May 2026 above 2.9%

Above 2.9% is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 14 inside Will Canada inflation rate YoY for May 2026 be above.

Price history

33¢ current

20¢30¢40¢
May 20, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Canada inflation rate YoY for May 2026 is above 2.9 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 2.9%

Rank

#8 of 14

Leader

Above 2.2% 91¢

Range

2¢-91¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXCACPIYOY-26JUN22-T2.9

May 24, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

33¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

26¢

Ask

34¢

Spread

Reported volume

$11

Family rank

#8 of 14

14 outcomes · Will Canada inflation rate YoY for May 2026 be above

Closes

Jun 22, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

26 / 34¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
26¢203
19¢41
7¢13
6¢65
5¢13
AskSize
34¢11
40¢201
41¢42
67¢1
81¢46

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Canada inflation rate YoY for May 2026 is above 2.9 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 22, 2026

Identifier

KXCACPIYOY-26JUN22-T2.9

SF Signal
SF Index
4492.44
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4492.4%

IY (No)

357.4%

Adj IY

4492%

CRI

4

RV

488%

VR

0.93

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4492.4%
357.4%
Adj IY
4492%
4
RV
488%
VR
0.93
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
4.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.