Before January 20, 2027 · Will Carlos Alcaraz compete in an ATP match before
Before January 20, 2027 is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 89¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 9 inside Will Carlos Alcaraz compete in an ATP match before.
Price history
96¢ current
+71¢Contract brief
If Carlos Alcaraz competes in an ATP Match after May 19, 2026 and before January 20, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before January 20, 2027
Rank
#2 of 9
Leader
Before December 15, 2026 90¢
Range
1¢-90¢
Family volume
$389
Identifier
KXATPRETURN-27-ALC-120
May 28, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
89¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$365
Family rank
#2 of 9
9 outcomes · Will Carlos Alcaraz compete in an ATP match before
Closes
Jan 26, 2027
Family volume
$389
Orderbook snapshot
89 / 94¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Carlos Alcaraz competes in an ATP Match after May 19, 2026 and before January 20, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 26, 2027
Identifier
KXATPRETURN-27-ALC-120
Event family
Will Carlos Alcaraz compete in an ATP match before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$389
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Before December 15, 2026 90¢
Current share
0%
Before December 15, 2026
kalshi · KXATPRETURN-27-ALC-1215
Before January 20, 2027
kalshi · KXATPRETURN-27-ALC-120
Before November 15, 2026
kalshi · KXATPRETURN-27-ALC-1115
Before October 1, 2026
kalshi · KXATPRETURN-27-ALC-101
Before November 1, 2026
kalshi · KXATPRETURN-27-ALC-111
Before September 1, 2026
kalshi · KXATPRETURN-27-ALC-901
Before August 15, 2026
kalshi · KXATPRETURN-27-ALC-815
Before July 18, 2026
kalshi · KXATPRETURN-27-ALC-718
Before July 1, 2026
kalshi · KXATPRETURN-27-ALC-701
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
Read 96% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.