Will Chelsea win the FA Cup?
This contract is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$958
Best sibling
Manchester City 69¢
Ticker
KXFACUP-26-CHE
Market snapshot
Chelsea in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Chelsea win the FA Cup?. The displayed quote is 31¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $535. In the KXFACUP-26 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Chelsea
Family rank
#2 of 2
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
31¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 31, 2026
24h volume
$535
Family context
2 outcomes · KXFACUP-26
Quote range
29¢-69¢
Family leader
Manchester City 69¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 9m ago
Venue identifier: KXFACUP-26-CHE. Family volume: $958.
Price history
31¢ current
+22¢Orderbook snapshot
29 / 31¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Chelsea wins the FA Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
KXFACUP-26-CHE
Event family
KXFACUP-26.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$958
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Manchester City 69¢
Current share
56%
Chelsea
kalshi · KXFACUP-26-CHE
Manchester City
kalshi · KXFACUP-26-MCI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 31% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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