Chuck Uribe · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26
Chuck Uribe is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 9 inside KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26.
Price history
1¢ current
−8¢Contract brief
If Chuck Uribe wins the the 2026 CA-04 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Chuck Uribe
Rank
#3 of 9
Leader
Mike Thompson 84¢
Range
1¢-84¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-CURI
May 27, 2026, 8:27 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$100
Family rank
#3 of 9
9 outcomes · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Chuck Uribe wins the the 2026 CA-04 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-CURI
Event family
KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Mike Thompson 84¢
Current share
4%
Mike Thompson
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-MTHO
Eric Jones
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-EJON
Chuck Uribe
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-CURI
Jimih Jomes
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-JJOM
John Mackenzie
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-JMAC
Mandy Ghusar
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-MGHU
Ray Riehle
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-RRIE
Sharon Brown
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-SBRO
Thomas Roach
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-TROA
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.