Eric Jones · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26
Eric Jones is priced at 60¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 79¢ ask, 67¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 9 inside KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26.
Price history
60¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If Eric Jones wins the the 2026 CA-04 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Eric Jones
Rank
#3 of 9
Leader
Mike Thompson 23¢
Range
9¢-23¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-EJON
May 24, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
79¢
Spread
67¢
Reported volume
$5K
Family rank
#3 of 9
9 outcomes · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 79¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Eric Jones wins the the 2026 CA-04 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-EJON
Event family
KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Mike Thompson 23¢
Current share
—
Mike Thompson
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-MTHO
Ray Riehle
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-RRIE
Eric Jones
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-EJON
Chuck Uribe
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-CURI
Jimih Jomes
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-JJOM
John Mackenzie
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-JMAC
Mandy Ghusar
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-MGHU
Sharon Brown
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-SBRO
Thomas Roach
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-04FIRST26-TROA
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.