SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 23, 202614 days left

Will Cleveland win the 1H by over 4.5 points?

This contract is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 46¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

46¢
$2K volume
$1K liquidity
41% of event volume

Event outcomes

10

Family volume

$5K

Best sibling

Detroit wins the 1H by over 2.5 points 29¢

Ticker

KXNBA1HSPREAD-26MAY09DETCLE-CLE4

Market snapshot

Cleveland wins the 1H by over 4.5 points in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Cleveland win the 1H by over 4.5 points?. The displayed quote is 46¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $2K. In the KXNBA1HSPREAD-26MAY09DETCLE family, this outcome ranks #2 of 10 by current quote across 10 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Cleveland wins the 1H by over 4.5 points

Family rank

#2 of 10

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

46¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 23, 2026

24h volume

$2K

Family context

10 outcomes · KXNBA1HSPREAD-26MAY09DETCLE

Quote range

3¢-54¢

Family leader

Cleveland wins the 1H by over 1.5 points 54¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 12m ago

Venue identifier: KXNBA1HSPREAD-26MAY09DETCLE-CLE4. Family volume: $5K.

Price history

46¢ current

+20¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

43 / 46¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
43¢93
42¢1.6K
41¢1.0K
37¢405
34¢383
AskSize
46¢364
47¢2.8K
50¢300
51¢97
52¢352

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Cleveland wins the 1st Half by more than 4.5 points in the Detroit vs Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 23, 2026

Identifier

KXNBA1HSPREAD-26MAY09DETCLE-CLE4

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3340.5%

IY (No)

1901.1%

Adj IY

3107%

CRI

1

RV

2315%

VR

2.79

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3340.5%
1901.1%
Adj IY
3107%
1
RV
2315%
VR
2.79
IAR
1.7/h
Overround
1.1%
LAS
0.07

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