SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 12, 2026

Will CPI Core rise more than 1.3% in April?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

1¢
$27 volume
$27 liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$16K

Best sibling

Above 0.4% 6¢

Ticker

KXCPICORE-26APR-T1.3

Market snapshot

Above 1.3% in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will CPI Core rise more than 1.3% in April?. The displayed quote is 1¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $27. In the Will CPI Core rise more than family, this outcome ranks #14 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC.

Outcome

Above 1.3%

Family rank

#14 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 12, 2026

Reported volume

$27

Family context

16 outcomes · Will CPI Core rise more than

Quote range

1¢-99¢

Family leader

Above 0.0% 99¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXCPICORE-26APR-T1.3. Family volume: $16K.

Price history

1¢ current

2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 7, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 4¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
4¢10
5¢1.0K
79¢1
89¢1
95¢1

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for April 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 1.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 12, 2026

Identifier

KXCPICORE-26APR-T1.3

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.