Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in April?
This contract is priced at 49¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$16K
Best sibling
Above 0.4% 6¢
Ticker
KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.3
Market snapshot
Above 0.3% in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in April?. The displayed quote is 49¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $6K. In the Will CPI Core rise more than family, this outcome ranks #4 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.
Outcome
Above 0.3%
Family rank
#4 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
49¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 12, 2026
24h volume
$6K
Family context
16 outcomes · Will CPI Core rise more than
Quote range
1¢-99¢
Family leader
Above 0.0% 99¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 12m ago
Venue identifier: KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.3. Family volume: $16K.
Price history
49¢ current
+1¢Orderbook snapshot
49 / 50¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for April 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 12, 2026
Identifier
KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.3
Event family
Will CPI Core rise more than.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$16K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above 0.0% 99¢
Current share
39%
Above 0.3%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.3
Above 0.4%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.4
Above 0.2%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.2
Above 0.0%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.0
Above 0.1%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.1
Above 0.5%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.5
Above 0.6%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.6
Above 0.7%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.7
Above 0.8%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.8
Above 0.9%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26APR-T0.9
Above 1.0%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26APR-T1.0
Above 1.1%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26APR-T1.1
Above 1.2%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26APR-T1.2
Above 1.3%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26APR-T1.3
Above 1.4%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26APR-T1.4
Above 1.5%
kalshi · KXCPICORE-26APR-T1.5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.635
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 49% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.