CPI rise more than 0.1% in July 2026
Above 0.1% is priced at 74¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 82¢ ask, 21¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside Will CPI rise more than.
Price history
74¢ current
+12¢Contract brief
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.1% (single-decimal) in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 0.1%
Rank
#4 of 7
Leader
Above -0.1% 84¢
Range
3¢-84¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXCPI-26JUL-T0.1
May 28, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
61¢
Ask
82¢
Spread
21¢
24h volume
$2
Family rank
#4 of 7
7 outcomes · Will CPI rise more than
Closes
Aug 12, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
61 / 82¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.1% (single-decimal) in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 12, 2026
Identifier
KXCPI-26JUL-T0.1
Event family
Will CPI rise more than.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above -0.1% 84¢
Current share
0%
Above -0.1%
kalshi · KXCPI-26JUL-T-0.1
Above 0.0%
kalshi · KXCPI-26JUL-T0.0
Above 0.2%
kalshi · KXCPI-26JUL-T0.2
Above 0.1%
kalshi · KXCPI-26JUL-T0.1
Above 0.4%
kalshi · KXCPI-26JUL-T0.4
Above 0.5%
kalshi · KXCPI-26JUL-T0.5
Above 0.3%
kalshi · KXCPI-26JUL-T0.3
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.635
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.