↑ $105 · Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June
↑ $105 is priced at 47¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 46¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?.
Price history
47¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Outcome
↑ $105
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
↓ $80 57¢
Range
1¢-57¢
Family volume
$14.6M
Identifier
0x86c44550...9bd9
May 25, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
46¢
Ask
47¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Family volume
$14.6M
Orderbook snapshot
46 / 47¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x86c44550…9bd9
Event family
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$14.6M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
↓ $80 57¢
Current share
0%
↓ $80
polymarket · 0xbaf252e7ac957d6636a6916da51892c9f42e59bfbf808bd4d8e16f194694d2b5
↑ $105
polymarket · 0x86c4455035d81c512138b8e38ade7defdb46708d3ee43098cdc8429a7d3b9bd9
↑ $110
polymarket · 0x82033ffc908562008e86493dde6695b264bcbb2ac094995629a8e84d58a92940
↑ $115
polymarket · 0x46f19d5bedd6d601d597d308d86814245974014d8a108395a7690d7a099cacdd
↓ $70
polymarket · 0xe3f8272f4957b7dcc492d988e5c7cd6dbb2f4111cd309571514a280938d617f1
↑ $120
polymarket · 0xba8af64c1b08f322ca7f66f3cfdbdfd50c0eae6fc88d2fcf29c30ceb62682421
↑ $130
polymarket · 0xa5d0dfc81e6a87faa737df4ca52fae7e18b63d9f7568e364c6c7d8c45fb39e8b
↑ $140
polymarket · 0x0443a503a38b90446c8a3826db5ee1323144197ef2b4ed09bcdf545ac104dfcb
↓ $60
polymarket · 0x404f8cff823a8692b2225d2372429300a73093a0838d614839e626b0d13d501c
↑ $150
polymarket · 0xeda0e0633f131b761cbe6c6e5e16ae347c48d9448a08c5826bfc2c794b63758e
↓ $55
polymarket · 0x9118beb9f9d8462c85b24f3cfb39ccbd244f723e6b381aaf622c66fdc3dcf178
↓ $52
polymarket · 0x98728d940ba33c8675997663835b21198c92326aa188e8ffc3c07eed7ba85b22
↑ $200
polymarket · 0x5f879a52e5349db7f66d386ca75f1a9bb608fdd6a738a1582681613730b23281
↑ $175
polymarket · 0x7ae064ed7f3c9f4d201ce007b05b3a23f8e824170981c4d301f07301d554f451
↓ $50
polymarket · 0x74ef80070ef90dfac1da8107c7e2f2aee1bf880df88a968a542411553ce30e81
↓ $40
polymarket · 0xb941af01c632229376fa4d7c994369c90743654bc9a7a36072ec4fbb0bc855cc
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.