SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2027543 days left

Will Democrats win exactly 8 seats in 2026 Virginia House of Representatives elections?

This contract is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

22¢
$8K volume
$4K liquidity
34% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$25K

Best sibling

10 5¢

Ticker

KXVAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03-8

Market snapshot

8 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Democrats win exactly 8 seats in 2026 Virginia House of Representatives elections?. The displayed quote is 22¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $3K. In the Will Democrats win family, this outcome ranks #3 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

8

Family rank

#3 of 6

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

22¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Nov 3, 2027

24h volume

$3K

Family context

6 outcomes · Will Democrats win

Quote range

4¢-40¢

Family leader

7 40¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: KXVAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03-8. Family volume: $25K.

Price history

22¢ current

+20¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 20, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

18 / 22¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
18¢57
17¢2.6K
16¢1.0K
9¢5.0K
9¢31
AskSize
22¢162
24¢95
25¢998
27¢1.0K
35¢500

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the Democratic party has won exactly 8 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Virginia, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXVAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03-8

Event family

Will Democrats win.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$25K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

7 40¢

Current share

12%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

306.1%

IY (No)

14.7%

Adj IY

238%

CRI

5

RV

2591%

VR

26.38

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

306.1%
14.7%
Adj IY
238%
5
RV
2591%
VR
26.38
IAR
1.1/h
Overround
-0.0%
LAS
0.22

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