Will Democrats win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida?
This contract is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
9
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
4 13¢
Ticker
KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-B4
Market snapshot
Below 4 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Democrats win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida?. The displayed quote is 6¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $1. In the Will Democrats win family, this outcome ranks #9 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:26 AM UTC.
Outcome
Below 4
Family rank
#9 of 9
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
6¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Nov 3, 2027
Reported volume
$1
Family context
9 outcomes · Will Democrats win
Quote range
2¢-18¢
Family leader
7 18¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:26 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-B4. Family volume: —.
Price history
6¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 4¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Democrats win below 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-B4
Event family
Will Democrats win.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
7 18¢
Current share
—
Below 4
kalshi · KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-B4
4
kalshi · KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-4-4
5
kalshi · KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-5-5
6
kalshi · KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-6-6
7
kalshi · KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-7-7
8
kalshi · KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-8-8
9
kalshi · KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-9-9
10
kalshi · KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-10-10
Above 10
kalshi · KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-A10
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
none
Event type
political
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