SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2028608 days left

Will Donald Trump leave office before 2028?

This contract is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

31¢
$591K volume
$363K liquidity
2385% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$25K

Best sibling

Before 2027 11¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPOUT27-27-28

Price history

31¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026Apr 17, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

31 / 32¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
31¢13K
30¢4.4K
29¢14K
28¢5.0K
27¢12K
AskSize
32¢26K
33¢33K
34¢300
35¢3
40¢17

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump leaves office before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2028

Identifier

KXTRUMPOUT27-27-28

Event family

KXTRUMPOUT27-27.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$25K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Before January 20, 2029 38¢

Current share

4%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

133.6%

IY (No)

27.0%

Adj IY

65%

CRI

2

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.03

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

133.6%
27.0%
Adj IY
65%
2
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.03

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