SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 10, 20261 days left

Will Donald Trump make between 120 and 139 Truth Social posts the week of May 3, 2026?

This contract is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

8¢
$10K volume
$4K liquidity
101% of event volume

Event outcomes

9

Family volume

$10K

Best sibling

140-159 48¢

Ticker

KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY09-B129

Market snapshot

120-139 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Donald Trump make between 120 and 139 Truth Social posts the week of May 3, 2026?. The displayed quote is 8¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $3K. In the Will Donald Trump make family, this outcome ranks #3 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

120-139

Family rank

#3 of 9

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 10, 2026

24h volume

$3K

Family context

9 outcomes · Will Donald Trump make

Quote range

1¢-48¢

Family leader

140-159 48¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY09-B129. Family volume: $10K.

Price history

8¢ current

12¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 3, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 12¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.3K
5¢20
4¢35
3¢209
2¢254
AskSize
12¢20
13¢170
14¢5
18¢8
19¢300

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from May 3, 2026 to May 9, 2026 is between 120 and 139, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 10, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY09-B129

Event family

Will Donald Trump make.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$10K

Outcomes

9

Highest price

140-159 48¢

Current share

31%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

19

VR

0.42

IAR

0.5/h

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

2.40

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

19
VR
0.42
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
2.40

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