SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 1, 202629 days left

Will Donald Trump visit China before Jun 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 92¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

92¢
$81K volume
$38K liquidity
414% of event volume

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$20K

Best sibling

Before May 15, 2026 83¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPCHINA-26-JUN01

Price history

92¢ current

+10¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

92 / 96¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
92¢500
92¢69
92¢200
89¢1
87¢511
AskSize
96¢30
96¢500
96¢1.2K
96¢1
97¢1.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of China before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUMPCHINA-26-JUN01

Event family

Will Donald Trump visit China before.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$20K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Before Jul 1, 2026 95¢

Current share

9%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

109.5%

IY (No)

14477.1%

Adj IY

7003%

CRI

12

Overround

1.7%

LAS

0.03

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

109.5%
14477.1%
Adj IY
7003%
12
Overround
1.7%
LAS
0.03

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogpolitics

Trump Tariffs 2026: Trade War Risk with China & Mexico and What Prediction Markets Are Pricing In

Deep‑dive guide to Trump’s 2025–26 tariff agenda, trade war risk with China and Mexico, macro and sector impacts, and how to use prediction markets to trade Trump tariffs 2026.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index