Will Donald Trump visit China before May 13, 2026?
This contract is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$170K
Best sibling
Before May 15, 2026 96¢
Ticker
KXTRUMPCHINA-26MAY09-MAY13
Market snapshot
Before May 13, 2026 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Donald Trump visit China before May 13, 2026?. The displayed quote is 3¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $3K. In the Will Donald Trump visit China before family, this outcome ranks #5 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC.
Outcome
Before May 13, 2026
Family rank
#5 of 5
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
3¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 13, 2026
24h volume
$3K
Family context
5 outcomes · Will Donald Trump visit China before
Quote range
2¢-99¢
Family leader
Before Jul 1, 2026 99¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: KXTRUMPCHINA-26MAY09-MAY13. Family volume: $170K.
Price history
3¢ current
+1¢Orderbook snapshot
2 / 3¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of China before May 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 13, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPCHINA-26MAY09-MAY13
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at —.
Event family
Will Donald Trump visit China before.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$170K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Before Jul 1, 2026 99¢
Current share
2%
Before May 13, 2026
kalshi · KXTRUMPCHINA-26MAY09-MAY13
Before May 15, 2026
kalshi · KXTRUMPCHINA-26-MAY15
Before May 14, 2026
kalshi · KXTRUMPCHINA-26MAY09-MAY14
Before Jun 1, 2026
kalshi · KXTRUMPCHINA-26-JUN01
Before Jul 1, 2026
kalshi · KXTRUMPCHINA-26-JUL01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.