SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 16, 20267 days left

Will Drake release a new song before May 16, 2026?

This contract is priced at 94¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 88¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 6¢ spread.

Implied probability

94¢
$5K volume
$4K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$5K

Best sibling

Ticker

KXSONGRELEASEDATE-26DRA-MAY16

Market snapshot

Will Drake release a new song before May 16, 2026 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Drake release a new song before May 16, 2026?. The displayed quote is 94¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $660. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Will Drake release a new song before May 16, 2026

Family rank

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

94¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 16, 2026

24h volume

$660

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: KXSONGRELEASEDATE-26DRA-MAY16. Family volume: $5K.

Price history

94¢ current

+92¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 22, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

88 / 94¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
88¢5
87¢32
86¢43
85¢96
84¢500
AskSize
94¢117
95¢100
96¢500
97¢48
98¢462

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Drake releases a new song before May 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 16, 2026

Identifier

KXSONGRELEASEDATE-26DRA-MAY16

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$5K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will Drake release a new song before May 16, 2026 94¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

715.9%

IY (No)

38502.1%

Adj IY

35876%

CRI

7

RV

205%

VR

0.69

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

715.9%
38502.1%
Adj IY
35876%
7
RV
205%
VR
0.69
IAR
1.4/h
LAS
0.07

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