SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 21, 2026

Will Eminem have a #1 hit this year?

This contract is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

9¢
$182 volume
$171 liquidity
116% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$157

Best sibling

Ariana Grande 85¢

Ticker

KX1SONG-DEC2626-EMI

Market snapshot

Eminem in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Eminem have a #1 hit this year?. The displayed quote is 9¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $182. In the KX1SONG-DEC2626 family, this outcome ranks #16 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:48 AM UTC.

Outcome

Eminem

Family rank

#16 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 21, 2026

Reported volume

$182

Family context

16 outcomes · KX1SONG-DEC2626

Quote range

2¢-85¢

Family leader

Ariana Grande 85¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:48 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KX1SONG-DEC2626-EMI. Family volume: $157.

Price history

9¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 9¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢450
2¢1.0K
AskSize
9¢49
10¢500
11¢400
20¢400
22¢16

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Eminem has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 21, 2026

Identifier

KX1SONG-DEC2626-EMI

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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