SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 21, 2026226 days left

Will J Balvin have a #1 hit this year?

This contract is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

7¢
$413 volume
$413 liquidity
388% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$107

Best sibling

Ariana Grande 85¢

Ticker

KX1SONG-DEC2626-JBA

Market snapshot

J Balvin in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will J Balvin have a #1 hit this year?. The displayed quote is 7¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $413. In the KX1SONG-DEC2626 family, this outcome ranks #14 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

J Balvin

Family rank

#14 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 21, 2026

Reported volume

$413

Family context

16 outcomes · KX1SONG-DEC2626

Quote range

2¢-85¢

Family leader

Ariana Grande 85¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: KX1SONG-DEC2626-JBA. Family volume: $107.

Price history

7¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 7¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
100¢311
3¢363
2¢50
AskSize
7¢45
8¢500
16¢450
19¢16
27¢450

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If J Balvin has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 21, 2026

Identifier

KX1SONG-DEC2626-JBA

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5222.1%

IY (No)

5.0%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

32

Overround

9.3%

LAS

1.33

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5222.1%
5.0%
Adj IY
0%
32
Overround
9.3%
LAS
1.33

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