SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 1, 2026

Will ETH trimmed mean be above $4250.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

1¢
$333 volume
$333 liquidity
2% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$14K

Best sibling

Above $3,500.00 1¢

Ticker

KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26MAY31-425000

Market snapshot

Above $4,250.00 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will ETH trimmed mean be above $4250.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 1¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $333. In the Will ETH trimmed mean be above $ family, this outcome ranks #5 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:27 PM UTC.

Outcome

Above $4,250.00

Family rank

#5 of 8

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 1, 2026

Reported volume

$333

Family context

8 outcomes · Will ETH trimmed mean be above $

Quote range

1¢-51¢

Family leader

Above $2,500.00 51¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 7:27 PM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26MAY31-425000. Family volume: $14K.

Price history

1¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 1¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
2¢2.5K
3¢3.0K
6¢102
7¢490
100¢4.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026 is ever above $ 4250.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26MAY31-425000

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will ETH trimmed mean be above $.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$14K

Outcomes

8

Highest price

Above $2,500.00 51¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.364

Observability

low

Event type

financial

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.