0 · KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUN
0 is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 47¢ bid, 48¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUN.
Price history
46¢ current
+15¢Contract brief
If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 0 persons in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
0
Rank
#1 of 8
Leader
0 47¢
Range
1¢-47¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUN-0
May 24, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
47¢
Ask
48¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 8
8 outcomes · KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUN
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
47 / 48¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 0 persons in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUN-0
Event family
KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUN.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
8
Highest price
0 47¢
Current share
—
0
kalshi · KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUN-0
At least 250
kalshi · KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUN-124
2
kalshi · KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUN-2
1
kalshi · KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUN-1
10 to 24
kalshi · KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUN-17
100 to 249
kalshi · KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUN-174
3 to 9
kalshi · KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUN-6
25 to 99
kalshi · KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUN-62
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 46% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.