What is the current probability for "Will fnatic win the Leo Team vs. fnatic CS2 match?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 99¢ (99% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 27, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will fnatic win the Leo Team vs. fnatic CS2 match?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1479.3% and 4675.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will fnatic win the Leo Team vs. fnatic CS2 match?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will fnatic win the Leo Team vs. fnatic CS2 match?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that Will fnatic win the Leo Team vs. fnatic CS2 match?. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing April 27, 2026.

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99¢

Bid/Ask 99/100¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $103,357.16·OI $53,407.97·Closes Apr 27, 2026·14d remaining

KXCS2GAME-26APR271300LEOFNC-FNC

7-day price192 snapshots · 10 regime

99¢99¢ current

Apr 264¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If fnatic wins the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 2026: Leo Team vs. fnatic CS2 match originally scheduled for Apr 27, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1479.3%

IY (No) 4675.3%

Adj IY 4529%

CRI 2

RV 4046%

VR 6.13

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1479.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	4675.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4529%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	4046%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	6.13	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	5.0/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.03	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/27/2026, 8:30:56 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/27/2026, 7:53:54 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXCS2GAME-26APR271300LEOFNC-FNC yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →