Will Galions win map 1 in the Shifters vs. Galions match?
This contract is priced at 48¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 46¢ ask, 10¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$5
Best sibling
Shifters 53¢
Ticker
KXLOLMAP-26MAY141400SHFTGAL-1-GAL
Market snapshot
Galions in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Galions win map 1 in the Shifters vs. Galions match?. The displayed quote is 48¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $5. In the KXLOLMAP-26MAY141400SHFTGAL-1 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC.
Outcome
Galions
Family rank
#2 of 2
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
48¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 28, 2026
24h volume
$5
Family context
2 outcomes · KXLOLMAP-26MAY141400SHFTGAL-1
Quote range
36¢-53¢
Family leader
Shifters 53¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 5m ago
Venue identifier: KXLOLMAP-26MAY141400SHFTGAL-1-GAL. Family volume: $5.
Price history
48¢ current
+8¢Orderbook snapshot
36 / 46¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Galions wins map 1 in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier 2026: Shifters vs. Galions League of Legends match originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 28, 2026
Identifier
KXLOLMAP-26MAY141400SHFTGAL-1-GAL
Event family
KXLOLMAP-26MAY141400SHFTGAL-1.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$5
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Shifters 53¢
Current share
100%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.