SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 28, 202617 days left

Will Shifters win map 1 in the Shifters vs. Galions match?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 58¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 54¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

58¢
$0 volume
0.5 LAS liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$5

Best sibling

Galions 35¢

Ticker

KXLOLMAP-26MAY141400SHFTGAL-1-SHFT

Market snapshot

Shifters in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Shifters win map 1 in the Shifters vs. Galions match?. The displayed quote is 58¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the KXLOLMAP-26MAY141400SHFTGAL-1 family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 10:53 PM UTC.

Outcome

Shifters

Family rank

#1 of 2

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

58¢

Quote source

Bid/ask midpoint

Timing

Listed until May 28, 2026

Reported volume

Family context

2 outcomes · KXLOLMAP-26MAY141400SHFTGAL-1

Quote range

35¢-53¢

Family leader

Shifters 53¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 10:53 PM UTC · 8m ago

Venue identifier: KXLOLMAP-26MAY141400SHFTGAL-1-SHFT. Family volume: $5.

Price history

58¢ current

+11¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

54 / 62¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
54¢500
53¢1.5K
6¢243
4¢73
3¢100
AskSize
62¢500
63¢615
91¢250
92¢2.0K
97¢100

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Shifters wins map 1 in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier 2026: Shifters vs. Galions League of Legends match originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 28, 2026

Identifier

KXLOLMAP-26MAY141400SHFTGAL-1-SHFT

SF Signal
SF Index
1942.07
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXLOLMAP-26MAY141400SHFTGAL-1.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$5

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Shifters 53¢

Current share

0%

Browse this series

League of Legends Map Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXLOLMAP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1927.1%

IY (No)

2450.6%

Adj IY

1942%

CRI

1

RV

18906%

VR

7.43

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1927.1%
2450.6%
Adj IY
1942%
1
RV
18906%
VR
7.43
IAR
5.9/h
LAS
0.21

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.