Will Germany inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 3.1%?
Prediction markets currently give a 33% probability that Will Germany inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 3.1%?. This contract trades at 33¢ on Kalshi, closing April 29, 2026. This micro-liquidity market shows extreme yield metrics (7506% on Yes) driven by minimal open interest of just $10 and a wide 10¢ spread, making the quoted probabilities unreliable for serious analysis.
Analysis
This micro-liquidity market shows extreme yield metrics (7506% on Yes) driven by minimal open interest of just $10 and a wide 10¢ spread, making the quoted probabilities unreliable for serious analysis. With zero 24-hour volume and only 13 days to expiry, the market lacks sufficient trading activity to establish genuine price discovery, and the 3 Cliff Risk Index suggests elevated uncertainty near resolution. The flat 7-day price action at 28¢ indicates no meaningful new information has moved traders, leaving this contract too illiquid to confidently assess whether 40¢ represents fair value for German inflation exceeding 3.1% in April 2026.
Resolution rules
If Germany inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 is above 3.1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXDECPIPREL-26APR29-T3.1 yes 100