SimpleFunctions
KalshiAug 31, 20291216 days left

Will Green win the next U.K. election?

This contract is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

10¢
$18K volume
$11K liquidity
23585% of event volume

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$74

Best sibling

Conservative party 10¢

Ticker

KXUKPARTY-29-GRE

Price history

10¢ current

+3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 15, 2026Apr 21, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 13¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.5K
10¢2.0K
9¢5
6¢2.9K
5¢3.0K
AskSize
13¢2.3K
14¢36
22¢200
23¢60
25¢36

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the Green party receives the most seats in the next U.K. general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 31, 2029

Identifier

KXUKPARTY-29-GRE

Event family

KXUKPARTY-29.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$74

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Reform party 40¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

270.2%

IY (No)

3.3%

Adj IY

135%

CRI

9

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

270.2%
3.3%
Adj IY
135%
9
Overround
-0.1%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index