Will Ipswich Town be promoted from the EFL Championship in the 2025-26 season?
Prediction markets currently give a 63% probability that Will Ipswich Town be promoted from the EFL Championship in the 2025-26 season?. This contract trades at 63¢ on Kalshi, closing May 22, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $93 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 63¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $93 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 63¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The massive 89¢ bid-ask spread and astronomical implied yield of 8317.7% on the Yes side suggest minimal market depth and high execution risk. With just 36 days until expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 8, any position entered now faces significant slippage and potential difficulty exiting before resolution.
Resolution rules
If Ipswich Town is promoted from the EFL Championship during the 2025-26 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXEFLPROMO-26-IPS yes 100