Will Kanye West / Ye perform at Stade Velodrome between February 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Will Kanye West / Ye perform at Stade Velodrome between February 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026 at 11:.... This contract trades at 10¢ on Kalshi, closing January 8, 2027. This market displays extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the 335.1% implied yield on the Yes side.

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10¢mid
Bid/Ask 6/14¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Jan 8, 2027·261d remaining
KXVENUEPERFORMANCEYE-27JAN01-STA
7-day price4 snapshots · 3 regime
29¢6¢ current
Apr 153¢Apr 17

Analysis

5d ago

This market displays extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the 335.1% implied yield on the Yes side. The 8¢ spread is unusually wide relative to the price, suggesting minimal market depth and high execution risk for any trader attempting to establish a position. With 267 days to expiry and a neutral regime score, the market lacks conviction either direction, but the astronomical Yes yield combined with zero trading activity suggests this contract may be mispriced or simply abandoned by traders.

Resolution rules

If Kanye West / Ye performs at Stade Velodrome between February 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2191.5%
IY (No) 8.9%
Adj IY 1096%
CRI 16
Overround 0.3%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2191.5%
IY (No)8.9%
Adj IY1096%
CRI16
Overround0.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
8¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 4:39:23 PM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 4:38:24 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXVENUEPERFORMANCEYE-27JAN01-STA yes 100

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