Korea Republic · KXWCGROUPQUAL-26A
Korea Republic is priced at 68¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 66¢ bid, 68¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside KXWCGROUPQUAL-26A.
Price history
68¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
If Korea Republic is one of the teams to qualify from Group A for the Round of 32 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Korea Republic
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
Mexico 87¢
Range
39¢-87¢
Family volume
$8
Identifier
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26A-KOR
May 25, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
66¢
Ask
68¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$6K
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · KXWCGROUPQUAL-26A
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$8
Orderbook snapshot
66 / 68¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Korea Republic is one of the teams to qualify from Group A for the Round of 32 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26A-KOR
Event family
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26A.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Mexico 87¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.