Before July 2026 · Will legislation that prohibits members of Congress from purchasing stocks, even if it allows for purchasing stocks via a blind trust or the purchase of “diversified assets” (such as ETFs or mutual funds) passed the House before J
Before July 2026 is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Will legislation that prohibits members of Congress from purchasing stocks, even if it allows for purchasing stocks via a blind trust or the purchase of “diversified assets” (such as ETFs or mutual funds) passed the House before J.
Price history
3¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If a Congressional stock trading ban has passed the House after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before July 2026
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Before 2027 19¢
Range
3¢-19¢
Family volume
$151
Identifier
KXSTOCKBANHOUSE-26JUL01
Jun 5, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$3
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Will legislation that prohibits members of Congress from purchasing stocks, even if it allows for purchasing stocks via a blind trust or the purchase of “diversified assets” (such as ETFs or mutual funds) passed the House before J
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$151
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a Congressional stock trading ban has passed the House after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXSTOCKBANHOUSE-26JUL01
Event family
Will legislation that prohibits members of Congress from purchasing stocks, even if it allows for purchasing stocks via a blind trust or the purchase of “diversified assets” (such as ETFs or mutual funds) passed the House before J.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$151
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Before 2027 19¢
Current share
2%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.