Will Luke Shaw be in the England World Cup final squad?
This contract is priced at 26¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 9¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$142
Best sibling
Morgan Gibbs-White 17¢
Ticker
KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-LSHA
Market snapshot
Luke Shaw in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Luke Shaw be in the England World Cup final squad?. The displayed quote is 26¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the KXWCSQUAD-26ENG family, this outcome ranks #10 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC.
Outcome
Luke Shaw
Family rank
#10 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
26¢
Quote source
Bid/ask midpoint
Timing
Listed until Jun 18, 2026
Reported volume
—
Family context
16 outcomes · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG
Quote range
4¢-92¢
Family leader
Jordan Pickford 92¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC · 5m ago
Venue identifier: KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-LSHA. Family volume: $142.
Price history
26¢ current
+5¢Orderbook snapshot
21 / 30¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Luke Shaw is selected for the final squad for the England national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 18, 2026
Identifier
KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-LSHA
Event family
KXWCSQUAD-26ENG.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$142
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Jordan Pickford 92¢
Current share
0%
Luke Shaw
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-LSHA
Morgan Gibbs-White
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-MGIB
Alex Scott
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-ASCO
Trent Alexander-Arnold
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-TALE
Jordan Pickford
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-JPIC
Declan Rice
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-DRIC
John Stones
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-JSTO
Harry Maguire
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-HMAG
Jack Grealish
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-JGRE
Jordan Henderson
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-JHEN
Harry Kane
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-HKAN
Marcus Rashford
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-MRAS
Nick Pope
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-NPOP
Bukayo Saka
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-BSAK
Mason Mount
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-MMOU
Phil Foden
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-PFOD
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 26% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.