SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 18, 202637 days left

Will Morgan Gibbs-White be in the England World Cup final squad?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

22¢
$358 volume
$358 liquidity
253% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$142

Best sibling

Alex Scott 5¢

Ticker

KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-MGIB

Market snapshot

Morgan Gibbs-White in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Morgan Gibbs-White be in the England World Cup final squad?. The displayed quote is 22¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $79. In the KXWCSQUAD-26ENG family, this outcome ranks #11 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC.

Outcome

Morgan Gibbs-White

Family rank

#11 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

22¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 18, 2026

24h volume

$79

Family context

16 outcomes · KXWCSQUAD-26ENG

Quote range

4¢-92¢

Family leader

Jordan Pickford 92¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC · 5m ago

Venue identifier: KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-MGIB. Family volume: $142.

Price history

22¢ current

+11¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 22, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

17 / 22¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
17¢205
8¢10
5¢10
4¢60
3¢73
AskSize
22¢200
31¢25
90¢25
91¢60
92¢45

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Morgan Gibbs-White is selected for the final squad for the England national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 18, 2026

Identifier

KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-MGIB

SF Signal
SF Index
1687.35
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

2026 FIFA World Cup Squad Selection Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXWCSQUAD series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4780.7%

IY (No)

200.6%

Adj IY

1687%

CRI

5

Overround

24.1%

LAS

0.29

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4780.7%
200.6%
Adj IY
1687%
5
Overround
24.1%
LAS
0.29

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.