What is the current probability for "Will Madaris Grant be the Democratic nominee for OH-08?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 16¢ (16% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on November 3, 2027. 549 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Madaris Grant be the Democratic nominee for OH-08?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 598.5% and 7.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Madaris Grant be the Democratic nominee for OH-08?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiNov 3, 2027549 days left

Will Madaris Grant be the Democratic nominee for OH-08?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 6¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

16¢

$1K volume

$712 liquidity

100% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$1K

Best sibling

—

Ticker

KXOHPRIMARY-08D26-MGRA

Price history

16¢ current

−44¢

Apr 8, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 16¢

Kalshi

6¢ spread

BidSize

10¢32

9¢100

8¢200

2¢54

2¢35

AskSize

16¢600

18¢200

79¢200

80¢2.3K

99¢50

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Madaris Grant wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 OH-08 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXOHPRIMARY-08D26-MGRA

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

Highest price