Mariah Carey · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01
Mariah Carey is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 88¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01.
Price history
99¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If Mariah Carey releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Mariah Carey
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Chris Brown 99¢
Range
31¢-99¢
Family volume
$86
Identifier
KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-MARI
May 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
88¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
11¢
Reported volume
$136
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Family volume
$86
Orderbook snapshot
88 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Mariah Carey releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Identifier
KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-MARI
Event family
KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$86
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Chris Brown 99¢
Current share
0%
Chris Brown
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-CHR
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-ARI
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BAD
Camilo
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-CAM
Big Sean
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BIG
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BIL
Nicki Minaj
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-NIC
Mariah Carey
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-MARI
21 Savage
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-21S
Beyoncé
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BEY
Coldplay
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-COL
Addison Rae
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-ADD
Benson Boone
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BEN
Chappell Roan
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-CHA
Clairo
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-CLA
Childish Gambino
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-CHIL
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 99% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.