Nicki Minaj · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01
Nicki Minaj is priced at 88¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 84¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01.
Price history
88¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Nicki Minaj releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Nicki Minaj
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Bad Bunny 92¢
Range
9¢-92¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-NIC
Jun 22, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
84¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
14¢
Reported volume
$617
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
84 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Nicki Minaj releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Identifier
KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-NIC
Event family
KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Bad Bunny 92¢
Current share
—
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BAD
Camilo
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-CAM
Dua Lipa
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-DUA
Big Sean
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BIG
Ed Sheeran
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-EDS
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BIL
Coldplay
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-COL
Nicki Minaj
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-NIC
Addison Rae
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-ADD
Benson Boone
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BEN
Daniel Caesar
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-DAN
Beyoncé
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BEY
Clairo
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-CLA
Chappell Roan
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-CHA
Childish Gambino
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-CHIL
Daft Punk
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-DAF
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.