SimpleFunctions
KalshiAug 1, 202684 days left

Will Marty Makary be out as FDA commissioner before Aug 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 88¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

90¢
$5K volume
$2K liquidity
13% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$39K

Best sibling

Before Jun 1, 2026 75¢

Ticker

KXMAKARYOUT-26MAY-AUG01

Market snapshot

Before Aug 1, 2026 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Marty Makary be out as FDA commissioner before Aug 1, 2026?. The displayed quote is 90¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $4K. In the Will Marty Makary be out as FDA commissioner before family, this outcome ranks #3 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Before Aug 1, 2026

Family rank

#3 of 4

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

90¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 1, 2026

24h volume

$4K

Family context

4 outcomes · Will Marty Makary be out as FDA commissioner before

Quote range

75¢-92¢

Family leader

Before Jan 1, 2027 92¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXMAKARYOUT-26MAY-AUG01. Family volume: $39K.

Price history

90¢ current

+38¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 5, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

88 / 90¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
88¢11
86¢5
85¢17
84¢49
83¢303
AskSize
90¢223
91¢469
92¢440
93¢500
97¢490

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Marty Makary leaves as FDA commissioner before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMAKARYOUT-26MAY-AUG01

Event family

Will Marty Makary be out as FDA commissioner before.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$39K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Before Jan 1, 2027 92¢

Current share

11%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

59.4%

IY (No)

3193.5%

Adj IY

3121%

CRI

7

RV

354%

VR

4.37

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

59.4%
3193.5%
Adj IY
3121%
7
RV
354%
VR
4.37
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
2.4%
LAS
0.02

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